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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2001 . Peer-reviewed
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Semiparametric Autoregressive Conditional Proportional Hazard Models

Authors: Frank Gerhard; Nikolaus Hautsch;

Semiparametric Autoregressive Conditional Proportional Hazard Models

Abstract

A new semiparametric proportional hazard rate model is proposed which extends standard models to include a dynamic specification. Two main problems are resolved in the course of this paper. First, the partial likelihood approach to estimate the components of a standard proportional hazard model is not available in a dynamic model involving lags of the log integrated baseline hazard. We use therefore a discretisation approach to obtain a semiparametric estimate of the baseline hazard. Therefore, second, the log integrated baseline hazard is not observed directly, but only through a threshold function. We employ a special type of observation driven dynamic which allows for a computationally simple maximum likelihood estimation. This specification approximates a standard ARMA model in the log integrated baseline hazard and is identical if the baseline hazard is known. It is shown that this estimator is quite exible and easily extended to include unobserved heterogeneity, censoring and state dependent hazard rates. A Monte Carlo study on the approximation quality of the model and an empirical study on BUND future trading at the former DTB complement the paper.

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Keywords

autoregressive duration models, dynamic ordered response models, generalised residual, censoring, autoregressive duration models, dynamic ordered response models, generalised residuals, censoring., jel: jel:G14, jel: jel:C41, jel: jel:C22, jel: jel:C25

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
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