
We propose to estimate a metamodel and the sensitivity indices of a complex model m in the Gaussian regression framework. Our approach combines methods for sensitivity analysis of complex models and statistical tools for sparse non-parametric estimation in multivariate Gaussian regression model. It rests on the construction of a metamodel for aproximating the Hoeffding-Sobol decomposition of m. This metamodel belongs to a reproducing kernel Hilbert space constructed as a direct sum of Hilbert spaces leading to a functional ANOVA decomposition. The estimation of the metamodel is carried out via a penalized least-squares minimization allowing to select the subsets of variables that contribute to predict the output. It allows to estimate the sensitivity indices of m. We establish an oracle-type inequality for the risk of the estimator, describe the procedure for estimating the metamodel and the sensitivity indices, and assess the performances of the procedure via a simulation study.
T57-57.97, Applied mathematics. Quantitative methods, [MATH.MATH-ST]Mathematics [math]/Statistics [math.ST], QA1-939, FOS: Mathematics, Mathematics - Statistics Theory, Statistiques (Mathématiques), Statistics Theory (math.ST), 310, [MATH.MATH-ST] Mathematics [math]/Statistics [math.ST], Mathematics
T57-57.97, Applied mathematics. Quantitative methods, [MATH.MATH-ST]Mathematics [math]/Statistics [math.ST], QA1-939, FOS: Mathematics, Mathematics - Statistics Theory, Statistiques (Mathématiques), Statistics Theory (math.ST), 310, [MATH.MATH-ST] Mathematics [math]/Statistics [math.ST], Mathematics
| citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 3 | |
| popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Average | |
| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Top 10% | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Average |
