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Metamodel construction for sensitivity analysis

Authors: Huet, Sylvie; Taupin, Marie-Luce;

Metamodel construction for sensitivity analysis

Abstract

We propose to estimate a metamodel and the sensitivity indices of a complex model m in the Gaussian regression framework. Our approach combines methods for sensitivity analysis of complex models and statistical tools for sparse non-parametric estimation in multivariate Gaussian regression model. It rests on the construction of a metamodel for aproximating the Hoeffding-Sobol decomposition of m. This metamodel belongs to a reproducing kernel Hilbert space constructed as a direct sum of Hilbert spaces leading to a functional ANOVA decomposition. The estimation of the metamodel is carried out via a penalized least-squares minimization allowing to select the subsets of variables that contribute to predict the output. It allows to estimate the sensitivity indices of m. We establish an oracle-type inequality for the risk of the estimator, describe the procedure for estimating the metamodel and the sensitivity indices, and assess the performances of the procedure via a simulation study.

Keywords

T57-57.97, Applied mathematics. Quantitative methods, [MATH.MATH-ST]Mathematics [math]/Statistics [math.ST], QA1-939, FOS: Mathematics, Mathematics - Statistics Theory, Statistiques (Mathématiques), Statistics Theory (math.ST), 310, [MATH.MATH-ST] Mathematics [math]/Statistics [math.ST], Mathematics

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
3
Average
Top 10%
Average
Green
Published in a Diamond OA journal
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