Downloads provided by UsageCounts
Arctic waters have historically been regarded as harsh environments owing to their extreme weather conditions and remoteness from land. The advantages of shorter sea routes and hydrocarbon energy exploitation have recently led to increased marine activities in such harsh environments. To ensure safe operation within the area, the potential risks of ship accidents, need to be systematically analyzed, assessed and managed along with the associated uncertainties. The treatment of epistemic uncertainty in the likelihoods of adverse events due to lack of knowledge and information should also be considered. This paper presents a Frank copula-based fuzzy event tree analysis approach to assess the risks of major ship accidents in Arctic waters, taking uncertainty into consideration. The quantitative approach includes four steps, namely, accident scenario modeling by an event tree model, probability and dependence analysis of the associated intermediate events, risk assessment with respect to the consequent outcome events. A major ship accident in Arctic waters - ships stuck in ice, is chosen as a case to interpret the modeling process of the approach proposed. Crews and ships owners can use such approach to defining risk control options that enable optimal risk mitigation. Maritime management may also benefit from better risk assessment.
[SPI] Engineering Sciences [physics], Accident scenario analysis; Arctic waters; Frank copula; Fuzzy-event tree analysis; Ship accidents; Ship stuck in ice; Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality; Safety Research; Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health, Arctic watersShip accidentsAccident scenario analysisShip stuck in iceFuzzy-event tree analysisFrank copula
[SPI] Engineering Sciences [physics], Accident scenario analysis; Arctic waters; Frank copula; Fuzzy-event tree analysis; Ship accidents; Ship stuck in ice; Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality; Safety Research; Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health, Arctic watersShip accidentsAccident scenario analysisShip stuck in iceFuzzy-event tree analysisFrank copula
| selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources. This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 66 | |
| popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 1% | |
| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Top 10% | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% |
| views | 4 | |
| downloads | 7 |

Views provided by UsageCounts
Downloads provided by UsageCounts