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Intermittent and stochastic character of renewable energy sources: Consequences, cost of intermittence and benefit of forecasting

Authors: Notton, Gilles; Nivet, Marie Laure; Voyant, Cyril; Paoli, Christophe; Darras, Christophe; Motte, Fabrice; Alexis, Fouilloy;

Intermittent and stochastic character of renewable energy sources: Consequences, cost of intermittence and benefit of forecasting

Abstract

Abstract Solar and wind energy are inherently time-varying sources of energy on scales from minutes to seasons. Thus, the incorporation of such intermittent and stochastic renewable energy systems (ISRES) into an electricity grid provides some new challenges in managing a stable and safe energy supply, in using energy storage and/or 'back-up' energy from other sources. In such cases, the ability to accurately forecast the output of “unpredictable” energy facilities is essential for ensuring an optimal management of the energy production means. This review syntheses the reasons to predict solar or wind fluctuations, it shows that variability and stochastic variation of renewable sources have a cost, sometimes high. It provides useful information on the intermittence cost and on the decreasing of this cost due to an efficient forecasting of the source fluctuation; this paper is for engineers and researchers who are not necessarily familiar with the issue of the notions of cost and economy and justify future investments in the ISRES production forecasting.

Countries
France, Turkey
Keywords

Photovoltaic systems, Wind energy systems, Production prediction, Cost effectiveness, [SPI.GPROC] Engineering Sciences [physics]/Chemical and Process Engineering, [SDE.IE] Environmental Sciences/Environmental Engineering

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
views
OpenAIRE UsageCountsViews provided by UsageCounts
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509
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