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AbstractBoth climate change and habitat modification exert serious pressure on biodiversity. Although climate change mitigation has been identified as an important strategy for biodiversity conservation, bioenergy remains a controversial mitigation action due to its potential negative ecological and socio‐economic impacts which arise through habitat modification by land use change. While the debate continues, the separate or simultaneous impacts of both climate change and bioenergy on biodiversity have not yet been compared. We assess projected range shifts of 156 European bird species by 2050 under two alternative climate change trajectories: a baseline scenario, where the global mean temperature increases by 4 °C by the end of the century, and a 2 degrees scenario, where global concerted effort limits the temperature increase to below 2 °C. For the latter scenario, we also quantify the pressure exerted by increased cultivation of energy biomass as modelled byIMAGE2.4, an integrated land use model. The global bioenergy use in this scenario is in the lower end of the range of previously estimated sustainable potential. Under the assumptions of these scenarios, we find that the magnitude of range shifts due to climate change is far greater than the impact of land conversion to woody bioenergy plantations within the European Union, and that mitigation of climate change reduces the exposure experienced by species. However, we identified potential for local conservation conflict between priority areas for conservation and bioenergy production. These conflicts must be addressed by strict bioenergy sustainability criteria that acknowledge biodiversity conservation needs beyond existing protected areas and apply also to biomass imported from outside the European Union.
Renewable energy, Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment, Renewable energies, Climate change adaptation, Forestry, Complementarity, Biodiversity, renewable energy, Spatial conservation prioritization, Climate change mitigation, SDG 13 - Climate Action, spatial conservation prioritization, SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy, Agronomy and Crop Science, Waste Management and Disposal, SDG 15 - Life on Land
Renewable energy, Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment, Renewable energies, Climate change adaptation, Forestry, Complementarity, Biodiversity, renewable energy, Spatial conservation prioritization, Climate change mitigation, SDG 13 - Climate Action, spatial conservation prioritization, SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy, Agronomy and Crop Science, Waste Management and Disposal, SDG 15 - Life on Land
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| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% |
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