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Dynamical and Statistical Downscaling of Precipitation and Temperature in a Mediterranean Area

Authors: Pizzigalli C; Palatella L; Zampieri M; Lionello P; Miglietta M; Paradisi P;

Dynamical and Statistical Downscaling of Precipitation and Temperature in a Mediterranean Area

Abstract

In this paper we present and discuss a comparison between statistical and regional climate modeling techniques for downscaling GCM prediction. The comparison is carried out over the Capitanata region, an area of agricultural interest in south-eastern Italy, for current (1961-1990) and future (2071-2100) climate. The statistical model is based on Canonical Correlation Analysis (CCA), associated with a data pre-filtering obtained by a Principal Component Analysis (PCA), whereas the Regional Climate Model REGCM3 was used for dynamical downscaling. Downscaling techniques were applied to estimate rainfall, maximum and minimum temperatures and average number of consecutive wet and dry days. Both methods have comparable skills in estimating stations data. They show good results for spring, the most important season for agriculture. Both statistical and dynamical models well reproduce the statistical properties of precipitation, the crucial variable for the growth of crops.

Countries
Saudi Arabia, Italy
Keywords

S, I.5.4 Signal processing, Capitanata plane, Plant culture, downscaling techniques, Agriculture, SB1-1110, Downscaling techniques, climate change, Climate change

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    influence
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    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
13
Average
Top 10%
Top 10%
Green
gold