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Machine Learning and Knowledge Extraction
Article . 2026 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
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https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/ar...
Article . 2024
License: CC BY NC ND
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Article . 2026
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Preprint . 2024
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Polynomial Chaos Expanded Gaussian Process

Authors: Dominik Polke; Tim Kösters; Elmar Ahle; Dirk Söffker;

Polynomial Chaos Expanded Gaussian Process

Abstract

In complex and unknown processes, global models are fitted over the entire input domain but often tend to perform poorly whenever the response surface exhibits non-stationary behavior and varying smoothness. A common approach is to use local models, which requires partitioning the input domain into subdomains and training multiple models, thereby adding significant complexity. Recognizing this limitation, this study addresses the need for models that represent the input–output relationship consistently over the full domain while still adapting to local variations in the response. It introduces a novel machine learning approach: the Polynomial Chaos Expanded Gaussian Process (PCEGP), leveraging polynomial chaos expansion to calculate input-dependent hyperparameters of the Gaussian process (GP). This provides a mathematically interpretable approach that incorporates non-stationary covariance functions and heteroscedastic noise estimation to generate locally adapted models. The model performance is compared to different algorithms in benchmark tests for regression tasks. The results demonstrate low prediction errors of the PCEGP, highlighting model performance that is often competitive with or better than previous methods. A key advantage of the presented model is its interpretable hyperparameters along with training and prediction runtimes comparable to those of a standard GP.

Country
Germany
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Keywords

ddc:620, FOS: Computer and information sciences, polynomial chaos expansion, Computer Science - Machine Learning, Fakultät für Ingenieurwissenschaften » Maschinenbau und Verfahrenstechnik » Institut für Mechatronik und Systemdynamik » Steuerung, Regelung und Systemdynamik, Systems and Control (eess.SY), Electrical Engineering and Systems Science - Systems and Control, Machine Learning (cs.LG), machine learning, non-stationary covariance functions, FOS: Electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering, Gaussian process, ScholarlyArticle

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Top 10%
Average
Average
Green
gold
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