
handle: 10419/56234
Abstract. This article studies the stability of nonlinear autoregressive models with conditionally heteroskedastic errors. We consider a nonlinear autoregression of order p [AR(p)] with the conditional variance specified as a nonlinear first‐order generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity [GARCH(1,1)] model. Conditions under which the model is stable in the sense that its Markov chain representation is geometrically ergodic are provided. This implies the existence of an initial distribution such that the process is strictly stationary and β‐mixing. Conditions under which the stationary distribution has finite moments are also given. The results cover several nonlinear specifications recently proposed for both the conditional mean and conditional variance, and only require mild moment conditions.
Markovscher Prozess, Heteroskedastizität, Markov chains, ddc:330, ARCH-Modell, nonlinear autoregressive models, geometric ergodicity, -, Nonlinear Autoregression, Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity, Nonlinear Time Series Models, Geometric Ergodicity, Mixing, Strict Stationarity, Existence of Moments, Markov Models, Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH), generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, stationarity, \(\beta\)-mixing, C22, Asymptotic properties of parametric estimators, jel: jel:C10, jel: jel:C22
Markovscher Prozess, Heteroskedastizität, Markov chains, ddc:330, ARCH-Modell, nonlinear autoregressive models, geometric ergodicity, -, Nonlinear Autoregression, Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity, Nonlinear Time Series Models, Geometric Ergodicity, Mixing, Strict Stationarity, Existence of Moments, Markov Models, Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH), generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, stationarity, \(\beta\)-mixing, C22, Asymptotic properties of parametric estimators, jel: jel:C10, jel: jel:C22
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