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Economics Letters
Article
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Estudo Geral
Article . 2004
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Economics Letters
Article . 2004 . Peer-reviewed
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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2003 . Peer-reviewed
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Political Business Cycles and Inflation Stabilization

Authors: Vítor Castro; Francisco José Veiga;

Political Business Cycles and Inflation Stabilization

Abstract

When the choice of the nominal anchor and timing of inflation stabilization is analyzed with models of political business cycles, there is room for political opportunism of policymakers. The different business cycles associated with exchange rate-based (ERBS) and money-based stabilizations (MBS) imply that the decision regarding the timing and nominal anchor of stabilization may be affected by the timing of elections. Namely, an opportunistic policymaker is more likely to implement an ERBS than a MBS before elections, while the opposite happens after elections. Empirical results obtained when estimating a multinomial logit model for a sample of 35 stabilization programs implemented in chronic inflation countries clearly support this hypothesis.

Country
Portugal
Keywords

Political business cycles, Inflation stabilization, nominal anchors, political business cycles., Inflation stabilization, nominal anchors, political business cycles, Elections, Nominal anchors, jel: jel:E63, jel: jel:E31

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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12
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