Downloads provided by UsageCounts
handle: 10419/56658
Due to the dependency of the energy demand on temperature, weather derivatives enable the effective hedging of temperature related fluctuations. However, temperature varies in space and time and therefore the contingent weather derivatives also vary. The spatial derivative price distribution involves a risk premium. We employ a pricing model for temperature derivatives based on dynamics modeled via a vectorial Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with seasonal variation. We use an analytical expression for the risk premia depending on variation curves of temperature in the measurement period. The dependence is exploited by a functional principal component analysis of the curves. We compute risk premia on cumulative average temperature futures for locations traded on CME and fit to it a geographically weighted regression on functional principal component scores. It allows us to predict risk premia for nontraded locations and to adopt, on this basis, a hedging strategy, which we illustrate in the example of Leipzig.
Elementarschadenversicherung, ddc:330, 330 Wirtschaft, geographically weighted regression, risk premium, weather derivatives, Wetter, Risikoprämie, Optionspreistheorie, risk premium, weather derivatives, Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, functional principal components, geographically weighted regression, Region, Finanzderivat, Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, functional principal components, C31, Theorie, C01, jel: jel:C31, jel: jel:C01
Elementarschadenversicherung, ddc:330, 330 Wirtschaft, geographically weighted regression, risk premium, weather derivatives, Wetter, Risikoprämie, Optionspreistheorie, risk premium, weather derivatives, Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, functional principal components, geographically weighted regression, Region, Finanzderivat, Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, functional principal components, C31, Theorie, C01, jel: jel:C31, jel: jel:C01
| selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources. This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 10 | |
| popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Average | |
| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Average | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Average |
| views | 90 | |
| downloads | 84 |

Views provided by UsageCounts
Downloads provided by UsageCounts