
doi: 10.2139/ssrn.2571195
This article extends uniform exposure credibility theory by making quadratic adjustments that take into account the squared values of past observations. This approach amounts to introducing non-linearities in the framework, or to considering higher order cross moments in the computations. We first describe the full parametric approach and, for illustration, we examine the Poisson-gamma and Poisson-Pareto cases. Then, we look at the non-parametric approach where premiums can only be estimated from data and no type of distribution is postulated. Finally, we examine the semi-parametric approach where the conditional distribution is Poisson but the unconditional distribution is unknown. For all of these approaches, the mean square error is, by construction, smaller in the q-credibility framework than in the standard framework.
Uniform Exposure, Credibility, Poisson-Gamma, Poisson-Pareto, Quadratic Approximation, Parametric, [SHS.ECO] Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance, [SHS.GESTION] Humanities and Social Sciences/Business administration, Non-Parametric, Semi-Parametric
Uniform Exposure, Credibility, Poisson-Gamma, Poisson-Pareto, Quadratic Approximation, Parametric, [SHS.ECO] Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance, [SHS.GESTION] Humanities and Social Sciences/Business administration, Non-Parametric, Semi-Parametric
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