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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2015 . Peer-reviewed
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Q-Credibility

Authors: Le Courtois, Olivier;
Abstract

This article extends uniform exposure credibility theory by making quadratic adjustments that take into account the squared values of past observations. This approach amounts to introducing non-linearities in the framework, or to considering higher order cross moments in the computations. We first describe the full parametric approach and, for illustration, we examine the Poisson-gamma and Poisson-Pareto cases. Then, we look at the non-parametric approach where premiums can only be estimated from data and no type of distribution is postulated. Finally, we examine the semi-parametric approach where the conditional distribution is Poisson but the unconditional distribution is unknown. For all of these approaches, the mean square error is, by construction, smaller in the q-credibility framework than in the standard framework.

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Keywords

Uniform Exposure, Credibility, Poisson-Gamma, Poisson-Pareto, Quadratic Approximation, Parametric, [SHS.ECO] Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance, [SHS.GESTION] Humanities and Social Sciences/Business administration, Non-Parametric, Semi-Parametric

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Average
Average
Average
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