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Journal of Risk and Uncertainty
Article . 2015 . Peer-reviewed
License: Springer TDM
Data sources: Crossref
SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2014 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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Heterogeneity in Preferences Towards Complexity

Authors: Moffatt P; Sitzia S; Zizzo DJ;

Heterogeneity in Preferences Towards Complexity

Abstract

We analyze lottery-choice data in a way that separately estimates the effects of risk aversion and complexity aversion, and allows both of these to vary between individuals, and also to change with experience. The data is from an experiment in which 80 subjects engage in a sequence of 54 choices between pairs of lotteries. The lotteries always have the same expected value, but they differ in terms of variance and the level of complexity. Complexity is represented by the number of different outcomes in the lottery, and is either 1 (sure win), 3 (simple), 6 (complex) or 27 (very complex). A finite mixture random effects model is estimated which assumes that a proportion of the population are complexity neutral, and we find that around 32% of the population are complexity neutral. In those subjects who do react to complexity, there is a bias towards complexity aversion at the start of the experiment, but complexity aversion reduces with experience, to the extent that the average subject is complexity neutral by the end of the experiment. Around 23% of subjects appear complexity loving. Some of these findings are consistent with switching patterns seen in the choice data. Complexity aversion is found to increase with age, and is found to be higher for non-UK students than for UK students.

Countries
United Kingdom, Australia, United Kingdom
Keywords

1402 Accounting, 330, complexity aversion, complexity preferences, risk preferences, mixture models, learning, 2002 Economics and Econometrics, Complexity aversion, Risk preferences, 2003 Finance, Learning, Complexity preferences, Mixture models, jel: jel:D81, jel: jel:C91, jel: jel:D03

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    18
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    Top 10%
    influence
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
18
Top 10%
Average
Average
Green
bronze