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The Transmission of Oil and Food Prices to Consumer Prices Evidence for the MENA Countries

Evidence for the MENA countries
Authors: Belke, Ansgar; Dreger, Christian;

The Transmission of Oil and Food Prices to Consumer Prices Evidence for the MENA Countries

Abstract

This paper investigates the effects of global oil and food price shocks to consumer prices in Middle East-North African (MENA) countries using threshold cointegration methods. Oil and food price shocks increase domestic prices in the long run, whereby the impact of food prices dominates. While global prices are weakly exogenous, consumer prices respond to deviations from the equilibrium relationship. The short run adjustment pattern exhibits asymmetries and is particularly strong after positive shocks. Downward rigidities on wages may play a crucial role in this regard, as the relatively weak reactions of consumer prices after negative shocks are related to labour market institutions and public subsidies. The more rigid the regulations the more pronounced are the asymmetries. Robustness checks show that international price shocks do not affect GDP growth.

Keywords

MENA region, ddc:330, Oil and food price transmission, asymmetric error correction, MENA region, Wirtschaftswissenschaften, Q02, Oil and food price transmission; asymmetric error correction; MENA region, oil and food price transmission,asymmetric error correction,MENA region, Oil and food price transmission, oil and food price transmission, C22, E31, asymmetric error correction, jel: jel:Q2, jel: jel:C22, jel: jel:E31, jel: jel:Q02

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
16
Top 10%
Top 10%
Average
bronze