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doi: 10.2139/ssrn.2144741
handle: 10419/79582 , 10419/87704
We introduce a copula-based dynamic model for multivariate processes of (non-negative) high-frequency trading variables revealing time-varying conditional variances and correlations. Modeling the variables' conditional mean processes using a multiplicative error model we map the resulting residuals into a Gaussian domain using a Gaussian copula. Based on high-frequency volatility, cumulative trading volumes, trade counts and market depth of various stocks traded at the NYSE, we show that the proposed copula-based transformation is supported by the data and allows disentangling (multivariate) dynamics in higher order moments. To capture the latter, we propose a DCC-GARCH specification. We suggest estimating the model by composite maximum likelihood which is sufficiently flexible to be applicable in high dimensions. Strong empirical evidence for time-varying conditional (co-)variances in trading processes supports the usefulness of the approach. Taking these higher-order dynamics explicitly into account significantly improves the goodness-of-fit of the multiplicative error model and allows capturing time-varying liquidity risks.
ddc:330, 330 Wirtschaft, Marktliquidität, Wertpapierhandel, DCC-GARCH, trading processes copula, liquidity risk, Handelsvolumen der Börse, multiplicative error model, trading processes, copula, DCC-GARCH, liquidity risk, trading processes, Kopula (Mathematik), C46, copula, C58, Multivariate Analyse, multiplicative error model,trading processes,copula,DCC-GARCH,liquidity risk, C32, multiplicative error model, Theorie, USA, jel: jel:C46, jel: jel:C32, jel: jel:C58
ddc:330, 330 Wirtschaft, Marktliquidität, Wertpapierhandel, DCC-GARCH, trading processes copula, liquidity risk, Handelsvolumen der Börse, multiplicative error model, trading processes, copula, DCC-GARCH, liquidity risk, trading processes, Kopula (Mathematik), C46, copula, C58, Multivariate Analyse, multiplicative error model,trading processes,copula,DCC-GARCH,liquidity risk, C32, multiplicative error model, Theorie, USA, jel: jel:C46, jel: jel:C32, jel: jel:C58
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