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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2012 . Peer-reviewed
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Research . 2012
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Research . 2013
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Copula-Based Dynamic Conditional Correlation Multiplicative Error Processes

Authors: Bodnar, Taras; Hautsch, Nikolaus;

Copula-Based Dynamic Conditional Correlation Multiplicative Error Processes

Abstract

We introduce a copula-based dynamic model for multivariate processes of (non-negative) high-frequency trading variables revealing time-varying conditional variances and correlations. Modeling the variables' conditional mean processes using a multiplicative error model we map the resulting residuals into a Gaussian domain using a Gaussian copula. Based on high-frequency volatility, cumulative trading volumes, trade counts and market depth of various stocks traded at the NYSE, we show that the proposed copula-based transformation is supported by the data and allows disentangling (multivariate) dynamics in higher order moments. To capture the latter, we propose a DCC-GARCH specification. We suggest estimating the model by composite maximum likelihood which is sufficiently flexible to be applicable in high dimensions. Strong empirical evidence for time-varying conditional (co-)variances in trading processes supports the usefulness of the approach. Taking these higher-order dynamics explicitly into account significantly improves the goodness-of-fit of the multiplicative error model and allows capturing time-varying liquidity risks.

Country
Germany
Keywords

ddc:330, 330 Wirtschaft, Marktliquidität, Wertpapierhandel, DCC-GARCH, trading processes copula, liquidity risk, Handelsvolumen der Börse, multiplicative error model, trading processes, copula, DCC-GARCH, liquidity risk, trading processes, Kopula (Mathematik), C46, copula, C58, Multivariate Analyse, multiplicative error model,trading processes,copula,DCC-GARCH,liquidity risk, C32, multiplicative error model, Theorie, USA, jel: jel:C46, jel: jel:C32, jel: jel:C58

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
views
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