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Revue économique
Article
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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2011 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
Revue économique
Article . 2011 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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Can Fiscal Policy Stimulus Boost Economic Recovery?

Authors: AGNELLO, Luca; Sousa, R.;

Can Fiscal Policy Stimulus Boost Economic Recovery?

Abstract

Résumé Nous étudions le rôle de la politique budgétaire pour expliquer la dynamique des marchés d’actifs. À l’aide d’un modèle de données de panel couvrant une dizaine de pays industrialisés, nous montrons qu’un choc budgétaire positif a un effet négatif sur les prix des actifs boursiers et immobiliers. Les premiers réagissent instantanément au choc et l’effet du choc est temporaire. Les prix des actifs immobiliers réagissent progressivement et l’effet du choc est persistant. Par conséquent, toute tentative de stabilisation des marchés immobiliers à l’aide de la politique budgétaire (par exemple à travers les taxes sur les revenus du capital) peut avoir l’effet opposé à celui recherché en déstabilisant ces marchés. Nous trouvons également des effets multiplicateurs significatifs dans les cas d’éclatement des bulles immobilières, ce qui peut justifier le recours à des plans de stabilisation à partir de l’outil de la fiscalité. Nous mettons également évidence des effets d’éviction des déficits budgétaires sur la consommation et l’investissement (à cause de la pression à la hausse exercée sur les taux d’intérêt). JEL Code: E62, H30

Countries
Portugal, Italy
Keywords

Fiscal policy, asset prices, panel VAR, Fiscal policy, asset prices, panel VAR., jel: jel:E62, jel: jel:H30

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selected citations
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This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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