
doi: 10.2139/ssrn.1464711
handle: 10419/150169
This paper examines circumstances under which subjectivity enhances the effectiveness of inductive reasoning. We consider a game in which Fate chooses a data generating process and agents are characterized by inference rules that may be purely objective (or data-based) or may incorporate subjective considerations. The basic intuition is that agents who invoke no subjective considerations are doomed to "overfit" the data and therefore engage in ineffective learning. The analysis places no computational or memory limitations on the agents - the role for subjectivity emerges in the presence of unlimited reasoning powers.
[SHS.ECO.ECO] Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance/domain_shs.eco.eco, simplicity, C1, induction, Bayesian learning, learning, ddc:330, Induction, Simplicity, Bayesian learning, Inductive inference, simplicity, prediction, learning, Inductive inference, induction,simplicity,Bayesian learning,prediction, prediction, D8, jel: jel:C0, jel: jel:C1, jel: jel:D8
[SHS.ECO.ECO] Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance/domain_shs.eco.eco, simplicity, C1, induction, Bayesian learning, learning, ddc:330, Induction, Simplicity, Bayesian learning, Inductive inference, simplicity, prediction, learning, Inductive inference, induction,simplicity,Bayesian learning,prediction, prediction, D8, jel: jel:C0, jel: jel:C1, jel: jel:D8
| selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources. This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 3 | |
| popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Average | |
| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Average | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Average |
