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Efficient Computation of Value at Risk with Heavy-Tailed Risk Factors

Authors: Cheng-der Fuh; Inchi Hu; Kate Hsu; Ren-Her Wang;

Efficient Computation of Value at Risk with Heavy-Tailed Risk Factors

Abstract

The probabilities considered in value-at-risk (VaR) are typically of moderate deviations. However, the variance reduction techniques developed in the literature for VaR computation are based on large deviations methods. Modeling heavy-tailed risk factors using multivariate $t$ distributions, we develop a new moderate-deviations method for VaR computation. We show that the proposed method solves the corresponding optimization problem exactly, while previous methods produce approximations to the exact solution. Thus, the proposed method consistently outperforms existing methods derived from large deviations theory under various settings. The results are confirmed by a simulation study.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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