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Electronic Journal of Statistics
Article . 2018 . Peer-reviewed
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Electronic Journal of Statistics
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Locally stationary functional time series

Authors: van Delft, Anne; Eichler, Michael;

Locally stationary functional time series

Abstract

The literature on time series of functional data has focused on processes of which the probabilistic law is either constant over time or constant up to its second-order structure. Especially for long stretches of data it is desirable to be able to weaken this assumption. This paper introduces a framework that will enable meaningful statistical inference of functional data of which the dynamics change over time. We put forward the concept of local stationarity in the functional setting and establish a class of processes that have a functional time-varying spectral representation. Subsequently, we derive conditions that allow for fundamental results from nonstationary multivariate time series to carry over to the function space. In particular, time-varying functional ARMA processes are investigated and shown to be functional locally stationary according to the proposed definition. As a side-result, we establish a Cramér representation for an important class of weakly stationary functional processes. Important in our context is the notion of a time-varying spectral density operator of which the properties are studied and uniqueness is derived. Finally, we provide a consistent nonparametric estimator of this operator and show it is asymptotically Gaussian using a weaker tightness criterion than what is usually deemed necessary.

Countries
Belgium, Netherlands
Keywords

FOS: Computer and information sciences, NONSTATIONARY PROCESSES, Mathematics - Statistics Theory, Statistics Theory (math.ST), Methodology (stat.ME), locally stationary processes, DATA MODELS, 62M10 (Primary), 62M15 (Secondary), REGRESSION, FOS: Mathematics, FERTILITY, Inference from stochastic processes and spectral analysis, ASYMPTOTIC THEORY, Statistics - Methodology, functional data analysis, MORTALITY, kernel estimator, spectral analysis, Functional data analysis, Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH), 62M15, 62M10, PRINCIPAL COMPONENT ANALYSIS, YIELD CURVE

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
20
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
Green
gold