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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (Statistics in Society)
Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewed
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Article . 2022
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https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/ar...
Article . 2021
License: arXiv Non-Exclusive Distribution
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Sparse Temporal Disaggregation

Sparse temporal disaggregation
Authors: Mosley, Luke; Eckley, Idris; Gibberd, Alex;

Sparse Temporal Disaggregation

Abstract

AbstractTemporal disaggregation is a method commonly used in official statistics to enable high-frequency estimates of key economic indicators, such as gross domestic product (GDP). Traditionally, such methods have relied on only a couple of high-frequency indicator series to produce estimates. However, the prevalence of large, and increasing, volumes of administrative and alternative data-sources motivates the need for such methods to be adapted for high-dimensional settings. In this article, we propose a novel sparse temporal-disaggregation procedure and contrast this with the classical Chow–Lin method. We demonstrate the performance of our proposed method through simulation study, highlighting various advantages realised. We also explore its application to disaggregation of UK GDP data, demonstrating the method's ability to operate when the number of potential indicators is greater than the number of low-frequency observations.

Country
United Kingdom
Keywords

fast indicators, FOS: Computer and information sciences, model selection, 330, Econometrics (econ.EM), Applications of statistics, Statistics - Applications, Methodology (stat.ME), FOS: Economics and business, official statistics, high-dimensional statistics, temporal disaggregation, Applications (stat.AP), generalised least squares, Statistics - Methodology, Economics - Econometrics

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    popularity
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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
6
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
Green
hybrid