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Mathematical Finance
Article . 2013 . Peer-reviewed
License: Wiley Online Library User Agreement
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zbMATH Open
Article . 2016
Data sources: zbMATH Open
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MEASURING DISTRIBUTION MODEL RISK

Measuring distribution model risk
Authors: Breuer, T.; Csiszár, Imre;

MEASURING DISTRIBUTION MODEL RISK

Abstract

We propose to interpret distribution model risk as sensitivity of expected loss to changes in the risk factor distribution, and to measure the distribution model risk of a portfolio by the maximum expected loss over a set of plausible distributions defined in terms of some divergence from an estimated distribution. The divergence may be relative entropy or anotherf‐divergence or Bregman distance. We use the theory of minimizing convex integral functionals under moment constraints to give formulae for the calculation of distribution model risk and to explicitly determine the worst case distribution from the set of plausible distributions. We also evaluate related risk measures describing divergence preferences.

Country
Hungary
Keywords

QA Mathematics / matematika, relative entropy, \(f\)-divergence, generalized exponential family, Bregman distance, convex integral functional, multiple priors, Portfolio theory, maximum entropy principle, Statistical methods; risk measures, divergence preferences

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    influence
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
51
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
bronze