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Mathematical Finance
Article . 2013 . Peer-reviewed
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Article . 2014
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https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/ar...
Article . 2010
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ARBITRAGE BOUNDS FOR PRICES OF WEIGHTED VARIANCE SWAPS

Arbitrage bounds for prices of weighted variance swaps
Authors: Davis, MHA; Obloj, J; Raval, V;

ARBITRAGE BOUNDS FOR PRICES OF WEIGHTED VARIANCE SWAPS

Abstract

We develop a theory of robust pricing and hedging of a weighted variance swap given market prices for a finite number of co‐maturing put options. We assume the put option prices do not admit arbitrage and deduce no‐arbitrage bounds on the weighted variance swap along with super‐ and sub‐replicating strategies that enforce them. We find that market quotes for variance swaps are surprisingly close to the model‐free lower bounds we determine. We solve the problem by transforming it into an analogous question for a European option with a convex payoff. The lower bound becomes a problem in semi‐infinite linear programming which we solve in detail. The upper bound is explicit. We work in a model‐independent and probability‐free setup. In particular, we use and extend Föllmer's pathwise stochastic calculus. Appropriate notions of arbitrage and admissibility are introduced. This allows us to establish the usual hedging relation between the variance swap and the “log contract” and similar connections for weighted variance swaps. Our results take the form of a FTAP: we show that the absence of (weak) arbitrage is equivalent to the existence of a classical model which reproduces the observed prices via risk‐neutral expectations of discounted payoffs.

Country
United Kingdom
Keywords

Mathematics, Interdisciplinary Applications, PROBABILITIES, fundamental theorem of asset pricing, 1502 Banking, 330, Economics, Social Sciences, Applications of stochastic analysis (to PDEs, etc.), model-independent bounds, FOS: Economics and business, Finance And Investment, Derivative securities (option pricing, hedging, etc.), Business & Economics, 0102 Applied Mathematics, weighted variance swap, Business, Interdisciplinary Applications, 1502 Banking, Finance And Investment, Science & Technology, weak arbitrage, semi-infinite linear programming, model error, Mathematical Methods, Social Sciences, Mathematical Methods, arbitrage conditions, pathwise Itō calculus, Business, Finance, OPTIONS, Applications of mathematical programming, Physical Sciences, pathwise Ito calculus, Pricing of Securities (q-fin.PR), Quantitative Finance - Pricing of Securities, Mathematics, Mathematical Methods In Social Sciences, Finance

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
55
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
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bronze
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