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Unit Root Tests and Heavy‐Tailed Innovations

Unit root tests and heavy-tailed innovations
Authors: GEORGIEV, ILIYAN VLADIMIROV; Rodrigues, Paulo M. M.; Robert Taylor, A. M.;

Unit Root Tests and Heavy‐Tailed Innovations

Abstract

We evaluate the impact of heavy‐tailed innovations on some popular unit root tests. In the context of a near‐integrated series driven by linear process shocks, we demonstrate that their limiting distributions are altered under infinite variance vis‐à‐vis finite variance. Reassuringly, however, simulation results suggest that the impact of heavy‐tailed innovations on these tests is relatively small. We use the framework of Amsler and Schmidt () whereby the innovations have local‐to‐finite variances being generated as a linear combination of draws from a thin‐tailed distribution (in the domain of attraction of the Gaussian distribution) and a heavy‐tailed distribution (in the normal domain of attraction of a stable law). We also explore the properties of augmented Dickey–Fuller tests that employ Eicker–White standard errors, demonstrating that these can yield significant power improvements over conventional tests.

Countries
United Kingdom, Italy
Keywords

HB Economic Theory, Eicker-White standard errors, asymptotic local power functions, HG Finance, Non-Markovian processes: hypothesis testing, 330, asymptotic local power functions; Eicke-White standard errors; Infinite variance; α-stable distribution; Statistics and Probability; Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty; Applied Mathematics, Asymptotic distribution theory in statistics, Economic time series analysis, Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH), Stable stochastic processes, \(\alpha\)-stable distribution, infinite variance

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    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    4
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
4
Average
Average
Average
bronze