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Does corn market uncertainty impact the US ethanol prices?

Authors: Dutta, Anupam; Bouri, Elie; Junttila, Juha-Pekka; Uddin; Gazi Salah;

Does corn market uncertainty impact the US ethanol prices?

Abstract

AbstractThe growing interest in biofuel as a green energy source has intensified the linkages between corn and ethanol markets, especially in the United States that represents the largest producing and exporting country for ethanol in the world. In this study, we examine the effect of corn market uncertainty on the price changes of US ethanol applying a set of GARCH‐jump models. We find that the US ethanol price changes react positively to the corn market volatility shocks after controlling for the effect of oil price uncertainty. In addition, we document that the impact of corn price volatility on the US ethanol prices appears to be asymmetric. Specifically, only the positive corn market volatility shocks are found to influence the ethanol market returns. Our findings also suggest that time‐varying jumps do exist in the ethanol market.

Countries
Finland, Sweden
Keywords

ta520, maissi, Naturgeografi, etanoli, Economics, oil price volatility, volatility shocks, öljy, hintakehitys, volatiliteetti, Taloustiede, biopolttoaineet, corn price uncertainty, ta512, GARCH–jump model, asymmetry; corn price uncertainty; GARCH-jump model; oil price volatility; US ethanol market; volatility shocks, Physical Geography, asymmetria, hinnat, US ethanol market, asymmetry, prices

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
21
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
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