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Value of aggregation in smart grids

Authors: Raffi Sevlian; Ram Rajagopal;

Value of aggregation in smart grids

Abstract

The projected smart grid intends to deliver a variety of services to energy consumers. Many of these services rely on aggregates of energy consumers. Forecasting energy consumption of groups of users is a crucial aspect of this process. This paper addresses electricity load forecasting on varying scales of aggregation. Using city wide consumption data at 1 hour interval standard forecasting methods are applied to the data. It is shown that under some ideal conditions, forecasting errors decrease on as Θ(1/√N). We show empirically the true forecasting errors decrease as Θ(1/Nα) with α <; 0.5.

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Powered by OpenAIRE graph
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
11
Average
Top 10%
Top 10%
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