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Efficient Market Hypothesis and Polish Electricity Market

Authors: Izabela Filipiak; Piotr Filipiak;

Efficient Market Hypothesis and Polish Electricity Market

Abstract

Since the Electricity Act from 1997, Polish energy sector has been liberalized. The introduction of an efficient electricity market was supposed to increase energy security and decrease the electricity price for final consumers. The article tests the Efficient Market Hypothesis developed by Eugene Fama to verify the development of the Polish liberalized electricity market. The analysis was performed for the Day Ahead Market which covers 22 % of electricity trade on Polish Power Exchange (78% is performed through a forward market which is hard to analyze because of the diversity of the contracts). The calculations were performed in gretl, which is an open source package for econometric analysis. The results of the Efficient Market Hypothesis test show, that Polish energy market is not efficient yet. It may result from low exchange obligation and limited number of market participants.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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