On the prior distribution of extinction time

descriptionPublicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article 01 Jun 2016 English Publisher:The Royal SocietyJournal:Biology Letters, volume 12, page 20,160,089 (issn: 1744-9561, eissn: 1744-957X,

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Authors: Andrew R. Solow;

doi: 10.1098/rsbl.2016.0089

pmid: 27277952

pmc: PMC4938038

On the prior distribution of extinction time

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Abstract

Bayesian inference about the extinction of a species based on a record of its sightings requires the specification of a prior distribution for extinction time. Here, I critically review some specifications in the context of a specific model of the sighting record. The practical implication of the choice of prior distribution is illustrated through an application to the sighting record of the Caribbean monk seal.

Related Organizations

Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
United States

Keywords

Models, Statistical, Seals, Earless, Animals, Bayes Theorem, Extinction, Biological

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