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Review of Finance
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Risk Premium, Variance Premium, and the Maturity Structure of Uncertainty

Authors: Feunou, Bruno; Fontaine, Jean-Sébastien; Taamouti, Abderrahim; Tédongap, Roméo;

Risk Premium, Variance Premium, and the Maturity Structure of Uncertainty

Abstract

Abstract Structural or no-arbitrage asset-pricing models emphasize risk factors that cannot be observed directly. We show that the term structure of risk implicit in option prices can reveal these risk factors. Empirically, the variance term structure reveals two predictors of the bond premium, the equity premium, and the variance premium, jointly. Similarly, the term structures of skewness and kurtosis measures also reveal risk factors, but these are subsumed in the predictive content of the variance. The predicted premium is countercyclical and robust to the inclusion of known returns predictors.

Keywords

G17, Kurtosis, ddc:330, G13, Financial markets, Variance, Asset pricing, Skewness, Economía, Variance premium, Equity premium, Term structure, Long-run risks, G12, Bond premium, C22, jel: jel:C22, jel: jel:G12, jel: jel:G17

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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