
arXiv: 1405.1326
AbstractWe demonstrate both analytically and numerically that the existing methods for measuring tail dependence in copulas may sometimes underestimate the extent of extreme co-movements of dependent risks and, therefore, may not always comply with the new paradigm of prudent risk management. This phenomenon holds in the context of both symmetric and asymmetric copulas with and without singularities. As a remedy, we introduce a notion of paths of maximal (tail) dependence and utilize the notion to propose several new indices of tail dependence. The suggested new indices are conservative, conform with the basic concepts of modern quantitative risk management, and are capable of differentiating between distinct risky positions in situations when the existing indices fail to do so.
Applications of statistics to actuarial sciences and financial mathematics, FOS: Computer and information sciences, tail dependence, Statistics of extreme values; tail inference, Mathematics - Statistics Theory, Statistics Theory (math.ST), Methodology (stat.ME), FOS: Economics and business, maximal dependence, FOS: Mathematics, multivariate Pareto, Characterization and structure theory for multivariate probability distributions; copulas, Statistics - Methodology, fatal shock, Statistical Finance (q-fin.ST), Probability (math.PR), Quantitative Finance - Statistical Finance, enterprise risk management, multivariate distribution, Risk Management (q-fin.RM), copula, Mathematics - Probability, Quantitative Finance - Risk Management
Applications of statistics to actuarial sciences and financial mathematics, FOS: Computer and information sciences, tail dependence, Statistics of extreme values; tail inference, Mathematics - Statistics Theory, Statistics Theory (math.ST), Methodology (stat.ME), FOS: Economics and business, maximal dependence, FOS: Mathematics, multivariate Pareto, Characterization and structure theory for multivariate probability distributions; copulas, Statistics - Methodology, fatal shock, Statistical Finance (q-fin.ST), Probability (math.PR), Quantitative Finance - Statistical Finance, enterprise risk management, multivariate distribution, Risk Management (q-fin.RM), copula, Mathematics - Probability, Quantitative Finance - Risk Management
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