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Stochastic Processes and their Applications
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Stochastic Processes and their Applications
Article . 2004
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Stochastic Processes and their Applications
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Approximating the Reed–Frost epidemic process

Approximating the Reed-Frost epidemic process
Authors: Barbour, A D; Utev, S;

Approximating the Reed–Frost epidemic process

Abstract

The paper is concerned with refining two well-known approximations to the Reed–Frost epidemic process. The first is the branching process approximation in the early stages of the epidemic; we extend its range of validity, and sharpen the estimates of the error incurred. The second is the normal approximation to the distribution of the final size of a large epidemic, which we complement with a detailed local limit approximation. The latter, in particular, is relevant if the approximations are to be used for statistical inference.

Country
Switzerland
Related Organizations
Keywords

Statistics and Probability, Total variation, Epidemiology, Final size distribution, Applied Mathematics, Reed-Frost epidemic process, Central limit and other weak theorems, Reed–Frost epidemic process, Local limit approximation, 10123 Institute of Mathematics, Branching process approximation, 510 Mathematics, 2604 Applied Mathematics, Modelling and Simulation, Applications of branching processes, 2613 Statistics and Probability, Asymptotic relative closeness, 2611 Modeling and Simulation

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
28
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
hybrid