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Signal Processing
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Kernel autoregressive models using Yule–Walker equations

Authors: Kallas, Maya; Honeine, Paul; Francis, Clovis; Amoud, Hassan;

Kernel autoregressive models using Yule–Walker equations

Abstract

This paper proposes nonlinear autoregressive (AR) models for time series, within the framework of kernel machines. Two models are investigated. In the first proposed model, the AR model is defined on the mapped samples in the feature space. In order to predict a future sample, this formulation requires to solve a pre-image problem to get back to the input space. We derive an iterative technique to provide a fine-tuned solution to this problem. The second model bypasses the pre-image problem, by defining the AR model with an hybrid model, as a tradeoff considering the computational time and the precision, by comparing it to the iterative, fine-tuned, model. By considering the stationarity assumption, we derive the corresponding Yule–Walker equations for each model, and show the ease of solving these problems. The relevance of the proposed models is studied on several time series, and compared with other well-known models in terms of accuracy and computational complexity.

Country
France
Keywords

Yule–Walker equations, [INFO.INFO-TS] Computer Science [cs]/Signal and Image Processing, autoregressive model, kernel machines, [INFO.INFO-LG] Computer Science [cs]/Machine Learning [cs.LG], pre-image problem, machine learning, time series prediction, [INFO.INFO-LG]Computer Science [cs]/Machine Learning [cs.LG], [INFO.INFO-TS]Computer Science [cs]/Signal and Image Processing, adaptive filtering, [SPI.SIGNAL]Engineering Sciences [physics]/Signal and Image processing, [SPI.SIGNAL] Engineering Sciences [physics]/Signal and Image processing

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    21
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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
21
Top 10%
Top 10%
Average
Green
bronze