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Weakly consistent extensions of lower previsions

Authors: Pelessoni, Renato; Vicig, Paolo;

Weakly consistent extensions of lower previsions

Abstract

Several consistency notions are available for a lower prevision P assessed on a set D of gambles (bounded random variables), ranging from the well known coherence to convexity and to the recently introduced 2-coherence and 2-convexity. In all these instances, a procedure with remarkable features, called (coherent, convex, 2-coherent or 2-convex) natural extension, is available to extend P, preserving its consistency properties, to an arbitrary superset of gambles. We analyse the 2-coherent and 2-convex natural extensions, E_2 and E_2c respectively, showing that they may coincide with the other extensions in certain, special but rather common, cases of `full' conditional lower prevision or probability assessments. This does generally not happen if P is a(n unconditional) lower probability on the powerset of a given partition and is extended to the gambles defined on the same partition. In this framework we determine alternative formulae for E_2 and E_2c. We also show that E_2c may be nearly vacuous in some sense, while the Choquet integral extension is 2-coherent if P is, and bounds from above the 2-coherent natural extension. Relationships between the finiteness of the various natural extensions and conditions of avoiding sure loss or weaker are also pointed out.

34 pages

Country
Italy
Related Organizations
Keywords

2-convex lower prevision, Choquet integral extension, Logic, Probability (math.PR), coherent lower previsions, 2-convex lower previsions, natural extensions, Axioms; other general questions in probability, Natural extension, convex lower previsions, Artificial Intelligence, Convex lower prevision, 2-coherent lower previsions; 2-convex lower previsions; Choquet integral extension; Coherent lower previsions; Convex lower previsions; Natural extensions; Logic; Artificial Intelligence, FOS: Mathematics, 60A05, 68T37, Coherent lower prevision, 2-coherent lower previsions, Mathematics - Probability, 2-coherent lower prevision

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Average
Average
Average
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