Population, land, and growth
Copyright policy )Population, land, and growth
Abstract This paper suggests a new explanation for changes in economic and population growth with a long run perspective, emphasizing the role of land in the development process. Starting from a pre-industrialization state called the “Malthusian regime”, land and labor are the main production factors. The size of population is limited by the quantity of land available for households and by incomes. Technical progress driven by a “Boserupian effect” may push the economy towards a take-off regime. In this regime, capital accumulation begins and a “learning-by-doing” effect in production takes over from the “Boserupian effect”. If this effect is strong enough, the economy can reach an “ultimate growth regime”. In the different phases, land plays a crucial role.
JEL: O - Economic Development, 330, endogenous fertility, land, endogenous growth, and Forecasts, Endogenous fertility; Land; Endogenous growth;, Innovation, [SHS.ECO] Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance, Endogenous fertility, Macroeconomic Effects, Land, Two, JEL: Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics • Environmental and Ecological Economics/Q.Q2 - Renewable Resources and Conservation/Q.Q2.Q24 - Land, [SHS.ECO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance, Technological Change, Endogenous growth, and Multisector Growth Models, Fécondité endogène,terre,croissance endogène.,Endogenous fertility,land,endogenous growth., Endogenous fertility,Land,Endogenous growth, JEL: J - Labor and Demographic Economics/J.J1 - Demographic Economics/J.J1.J11 - Demographic Trends, and Growth/O.O4 - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity/O.O4.O41 - One, jel: jel:R21, jel: jel:J13, jel: jel:O11, jel: jel:D9
JEL: O - Economic Development, 330, endogenous fertility, land, endogenous growth, and Forecasts, Endogenous fertility; Land; Endogenous growth;, Innovation, [SHS.ECO] Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance, Endogenous fertility, Macroeconomic Effects, Land, Two, JEL: Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics • Environmental and Ecological Economics/Q.Q2 - Renewable Resources and Conservation/Q.Q2.Q24 - Land, [SHS.ECO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance, Technological Change, Endogenous growth, and Multisector Growth Models, Fécondité endogène,terre,croissance endogène.,Endogenous fertility,land,endogenous growth., Endogenous fertility,Land,Endogenous growth, JEL: J - Labor and Demographic Economics/J.J1 - Demographic Economics/J.J1.J11 - Demographic Trends, and Growth/O.O4 - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity/O.O4.O41 - One, jel: jel:R21, jel: jel:J13, jel: jel:O11, jel: jel:D9
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