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Computational Statistics & Data Analysis
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Sequentially Constrained Monte Carlo

Sequentially constrained Monte Carlo
Authors: Shirin Golchi; David A. Campbell;

Sequentially Constrained Monte Carlo

Abstract

Constraints can be interpreted in a broad sense as any kind of explicit restriction over the parameters. While some constraints are defined directly on the parameter space, when they are instead defined by known behaviour on the model, transformation of constraints into features on the parameter space may not be possible. Difficulties in sampling from the posterior distribution as a result of incorporation of constraints into the model is a common challenge leading to truncations in the parameter space and inefficient sampling algorithms. We propose a variant of sequential Monte Carlo algorithm for posterior sampling in presence of constraints by defining a sequence of densities through the imposition of the constraint. Particles generated from an unconstrained or mildly constrained distribution are filtered and moved through sampling and resampling steps to obtain a sample from the fully constrained target distribution. General and model specific forms of constraints enforcing strategies are defined. The Sequentially Constrained Monte Carlo algorithm is demonstrated on constraints defined by monotonicity of a function, densities constrained to low dimensional manifolds, adherence to a theoretically derived model, and model feature matching.

Keywords

FOS: Computer and information sciences, differential equation models, Bayesian inference, Monte Carlo methods, sequential Monte Carlo, Applications of statistics to biology and medical sciences; meta analysis, Methodology (stat.ME), approximate Bayesian computation, particle filtering, Computational methods for problems pertaining to statistics, constraints, parameter estimation, Statistics - Methodology

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    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    16
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
16
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
Green
bronze