
Within the last years several methods for the analysis of nonlinear autoregressive time series have been proposed. As in linear autoregressive models main problems are model identification, estimation and prediction. A boosting method is proposed that performs model identification and estimation simultaneously within the framework of nonlinear autoregressive time series. The method allows to select influential terms from a large numbers of potential lags and exogenous variables. The influence of the selected terms is modelled by an expansion in basis function allowing for a flexible additive form of the predictor. The approach is very competitive in particular in high dimensional settings where alternative fitting methods fail. This is demonstratedby means of simulations and two applications to real world data.
Nonlinear time series, semi-parametric model, splines, lag selection, variable selection, boosting, Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH), Computational methods for problems pertaining to statistics
Nonlinear time series, semi-parametric model, splines, lag selection, variable selection, boosting, Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH), Computational methods for problems pertaining to statistics
| selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources. This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 18 | |
| popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% | |
| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Top 10% | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% |
