
AbstractGlobal species counts are a key measure of biodiversity and associated metrics of conservation. It is both scientifically and practically important to know how many species exist, how many undescribed species remain, and where they are found. We modify a model for the number of undescribed species using species description data and incorporating taxonomic information. We assume a Poisson distribution for the number of species described in an interval and use maximum likelihood to estimate parameter values of an unknown intensity function. To test the model's performance, we performed a simulation study comparing our method to a previous model under conditions qualitatively similar to those related to mammal species description over the last two centuries. Because our model more accurately estimates the total number of species, we predict that 5% of mammals remain undescribed. We applied our model to determine the biogeographic realms which hold these undescribed species.
Original Research
Original Research
| selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources. This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 15 | |
| popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% | |
| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Average | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% |
