
arXiv: 1906.10252
We develop clustering procedures for longitudinal trajectories based on a continuous‐time hidden Markov model (CTHMM) and a generalized linear observation model. Specifically, in this article we carry out finite and infinite mixture model‐based clustering for a CTHMM and achieve inference using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). For a finite mixture model with a prior on the number of components, we implement reversible‐jump MCMC to facilitate the trans‐dimensional move between models with different numbers of clusters. For a Dirichlet process mixture model, we utilize restricted Gibbs sampling split–merge proposals to improve the performance of the MCMC algorithm. We apply our proposed algorithms to simulated data as well as a real‐data example, and the results demonstrate the desired performance of the new sampler.
FOS: Computer and information sciences, continuous-time hidden Markov models, Classification and discrimination; cluster analysis (statistical aspects), split-merge proposal, Statistics, Bayesian inference, model-based clustering, split–merge proposal. MSC 2020: Primary 60J22, Continuous-time hidden Markov models, Statistics - Applications, Statistics - Computation, secondary 62H30, 510, Methodology (stat.ME), nonparametric Bayesian inference, Computational methods in Markov chains, Applications (stat.AP), 62F15, 91C20, 62F15, mixture models, Statistics - Methodology, Computation (stat.CO), reversible-jump MCMC
FOS: Computer and information sciences, continuous-time hidden Markov models, Classification and discrimination; cluster analysis (statistical aspects), split-merge proposal, Statistics, Bayesian inference, model-based clustering, split–merge proposal. MSC 2020: Primary 60J22, Continuous-time hidden Markov models, Statistics - Applications, Statistics - Computation, secondary 62H30, 510, Methodology (stat.ME), nonparametric Bayesian inference, Computational methods in Markov chains, Applications (stat.AP), 62F15, 91C20, 62F15, mixture models, Statistics - Methodology, Computation (stat.CO), reversible-jump MCMC
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