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Bayesian clustering for continuous‐time hidden Markov models

Bayesian clustering for continuous-time hidden Markov models
Authors: Yu Luo; David A. Stephens; David L. Buckeridge;

Bayesian clustering for continuous‐time hidden Markov models

Abstract

We develop clustering procedures for longitudinal trajectories based on a continuous‐time hidden Markov model (CTHMM) and a generalized linear observation model. Specifically, in this article we carry out finite and infinite mixture model‐based clustering for a CTHMM and achieve inference using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). For a finite mixture model with a prior on the number of components, we implement reversible‐jump MCMC to facilitate the trans‐dimensional move between models with different numbers of clusters. For a Dirichlet process mixture model, we utilize restricted Gibbs sampling split–merge proposals to improve the performance of the MCMC algorithm. We apply our proposed algorithms to simulated data as well as a real‐data example, and the results demonstrate the desired performance of the new sampler.

Country
United Kingdom
Keywords

FOS: Computer and information sciences, continuous-time hidden Markov models, Classification and discrimination; cluster analysis (statistical aspects), split-merge proposal, Statistics, Bayesian inference, model-based clustering, split–merge proposal. MSC 2020: Primary 60J22, Continuous-time hidden Markov models, Statistics - Applications, Statistics - Computation, secondary 62H30, 510, Methodology (stat.ME), nonparametric Bayesian inference, Computational methods in Markov chains, Applications (stat.AP), 62F15, 91C20, 62F15, mixture models, Statistics - Methodology, Computation (stat.CO), reversible-jump MCMC

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    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    3
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
3
Top 10%
Average
Average
Green
bronze
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