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ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЕ РАЗМЕЩЕНИЯ И РАЗВИТИЕ ПРОИЗВОДСТВА ПРОДУКЦИИ ЖИВОТНОВОДСТВА В РЕГИОНЕ.

Authors: V F Pechenevsky; O I Snegirev;

ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЕ РАЗМЕЩЕНИЯ И РАЗВИТИЕ ПРОИЗВОДСТВА ПРОДУКЦИИ ЖИВОТНОВОДСТВА В РЕГИОНЕ.

Abstract

Цель: Разработать прогноз размещения и развития производства основных видов продукции животноводства в ЦЧР. Обсуждение: В процессе исследования уточнены и дополнены теоретико-методические положения прогнозирования современного размещения и развития производства продукции животноводства, обусловленные самой аграрной сферой влиянием природно-климатических и экономических факторов производства, зависимостью от климатических зон специфики ведения животноводства и производства основных видов его продукции. Выявлены структурные сдвиги в размещении и развитии производства основных видов продукции животноводства в ЦЧР, характеризующиеся значительным ростом поголовья свиней и птицы, объемов производства свинины и мяса птицы, превысивших дореформенный уровень, с одновременными диспропорциями в размещении поголовья КРС, коров, в производстве говядины и молока. Результаты: Разработан прогноз размещения и развития производства основных видов продукции животноводства в ЦЧР, базирующийся на всесторонней оценке состояния и тенденций их развития, одновременном использовании комплекса методов: трендового корреляционно-регрессионного, имитационного моделирования и сценарного прогнозирования, учитывающих влияние многообразия экономических и природных факторов.

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    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
gold