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This work includes Business As Usual (BAU) forecast of the world’s global CO2 emissions per capita (CpC) in the period 2020-2100. The CO2 emission forecast is from the publication “Dataset Global Warming Forecast using Acceleration Factors” [3]. According to this publication, the CO2 emissions without international transport will change from 33,803 MtCO2/y in 2020 to 70,191 MtCO2/y in 2100, a 108% increase. The population forecast applies a parabolic trendline of the last 30 years. According to this calculation, the world population will change from 7,795 million in 2020 to 15,206 million in 2100, a 95% increase. CO2 emissions per capita (CpC) are calculated by dividing the CO2 emissions per year by the population in the same year. The world CpC was 4.3366 tCO2/y,cap in 2020. The BAU CpC forecast for 2100 is 4.6160 tCO2/y,cap, 6.4% increase.
{"references": ["Hannah Ritchie, Max Roser, Edouard Mathieu, Bobbie Macdonald and Pablo Rosado - Data on CO\u2082 and Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Our World in Data https://github.com/owid/co2-data#data-on-co2-and-greenhouse-gas-emissions-by-our-world-in-data", "Our World in Data, Cumulative CO2 emissions, 2020 https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/cumulative-co-emissions", "Dataset Global Warming Forecast using Acceleration Factors - Joseph Nowarski, DOI:10.5281/zenodo.7151890", "Dataset CO2 Emission per Capita Forecast 2020-2100 \u2013 Joseph Nowarski, DOI:10.5281/zenodo.7264409"]}
CO2 per capita forecast, Climate Change, CO2 emissions per capita, CO2 per capita, CO2 emissions, Global Warming
CO2 per capita forecast, Climate Change, CO2 emissions per capita, CO2 per capita, CO2 emissions, Global Warming
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