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Research . 2022
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Calculation of Paris-compatible Emission Targets for the Six Largest Emitters with the Extended Smooth Pathway Model (ESPM)

Authors: Sargl, Manfred; Wiegand, Daniel; Wittmann, Günter; Wolfsteiner, Andreas;

Calculation of Paris-compatible Emission Targets for the Six Largest Emitters with the Extended Smooth Pathway Model (ESPM)

Abstract

What are realistic emissions targets for the world's six largest emitters that sum up to Paris-compatible emissions? To answer this question, this paper varies key framework data on the available global budget and the sharing mechanism to calculate top-down national emissions targets using the Extended Smooth Pathway Model (ESPM). The Paris Ambition Mechanism is based on a bottom-up approach. However, if the national targets are not Paris-compatible in sum, the question arises whether national targets represent an adequate contribution to the necessary global efforts. An open and transparent discussion of this issue can contribute to NDCs that are Paris-compatible in sum.

Keywords

Paris compatible NDCs, Climate policy, Paris compatible emission paths, Paris compatible emission targets, NDCs, Effort sharing, Paris ambition mechanism

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citations
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popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
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influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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