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Analysis of Greenhouse Gases

Authors: Shalin Shah;

Analysis of Greenhouse Gases

Abstract

Climate change is a result of a complex system of interactions of greenhouse gases (GHG), the ocean, land, ice, and clouds. Large climate change models use several computers and solve several equations to predict the future climate. The equations may include simple polynomials to partial differential equations. Because of the uptake mechanism of the land and ocean, greenhouse gas emissions can take a while to affect the climate. The IPCC has published reports on how greenhouse gas emissions may affect the average temperature of the troposphere and the predictions show that by the end of the century, we can expect a temperature increase from 0.8 C to 5 C. In this article, I use Linear Regression (LM), Quadratic Regression and Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) on monthly GHG data going back several years and try to predict the temperature anomalies based on extrapolation. The results are quite similar to the IPCC reports.

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Keywords

FOS: Computer and information sciences, Physics - Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics, Computer Science - Machine Learning, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics (physics.ao-ph), FOS: Physical sciences, Machine Learning (cs.LG)

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This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
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