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This essay was written for the curricular unit “Seminar of Science of Sustainability and Climate Change” under the PhD Programme in Climate Change and Sustainable Development Policies (8th edition, 2016/2017 academic year). Delivered 13th March, 2017. Also presented orally in the Centre for Ecology, Evolution and Environmental Changes (ce3c) 4th Annual Meeting 2018 - Frontiers in E3, 9th July in Faculty of Sciences of the University of Lisbon.
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