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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao ZENODOarrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
ZENODO
Dataset . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: ZENODO
ZENODO
Dataset . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Dataset . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
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A multi-source benchmark dataset for day-ahead electricity-price forecasting in the Guangdong spot market

Authors: Liu, Hongyan; Zhang, Qianqi; Tu, Tianyi; Wen, Fange; Lu, Liangji; Lan, Xiaping; Xu, Zeling; +1 Authors

A multi-source benchmark dataset for day-ahead electricity-price forecasting in the Guangdong spot market

Abstract

China's installed renewable capacity overtook coal-fired capacity at the end of 2024, and from 2025 renewable generation is being brought fully into the market with prices set by trading, so that spot-price volatility, in the form of zero, negative and spike prices, has become routine. Day-ahead and real-time price forecasting is therefore a shared need for retailer bidding, storage arbitrage and renewable-revenue assessment, yet the open data underpinning such research remain weak: existing benchmarks come mostly from mature European and U.S. markets, and most do not record whether each column was actually available at bidding time, which invites the accidental use of future information in back-tests. Using Guangdong (a first-batch pilot, the largest spot market by traded energy, renewable-heavy, and located on a coastal typhoon corridor that makes prices weather-sensitive) as a representative Chinese market, we release a dataset for day-ahead price forecasting. On a unified Beijing-time hourly grid it organises 17 tables and 152 documented columns across market, weather, external-driver and news domains, targeting province-wide day-ahead and real-time settlement prices and shipping official day-ahead boundary forecasts, 24/48-hour-ahead weather forecasts for 21 cities, nodal-price signals, international fuel and carbon prices, typhoon proximity and a large-language-model news-sentiment signal. Its design has three distinctive features. First, every column is labelled with its real availability at bidding time, with as-of-bid columns kept separate from ex-post and settlement columns, so that an honest day-ahead forecast provably reads no future information. Second, the multi-source coverage spans supply and demand, constraints, cost and sentiment. Third, the pipeline is reproducible end to end, with per-source provenance, raw-response checksums, and an accompanying direction-prediction benchmark task with a neutral baseline. The dataset provides a time-aligned, caliber-transparent and reproducible empirical basis for spot-price-forecasting research in China.

Keywords

China, power market, electricity price forecasting, benchmark dataset, Guangdong, electricity spot market, weather forecast, look-ahead leakage, real-time market, renewable energy, day-ahead market, locational marginal price

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
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