Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ ZENODOarrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
ZENODO
Preprint . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: ZENODO
ZENODO
Preprint . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Preprint . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
versions View all 2 versions
addClaim

Parameter Identification and Uncertainty Quantification for a Spectral Model of Neuroblastoma using Padé-Adomian-MsDTM

Authors: Gusynin, Andrii;

Parameter Identification and Uncertainty Quantification for a Spectral Model of Neuroblastoma using Padé-Adomian-MsDTM

Abstract

A unified framework for parameter identification and multi-level uncertainty quantification is developed for a five-component spectral model of neuroblastoma. The model captures the interplay between aggressive and metastatic tumor phenotypes, stroma, immune response, and chemotherapy pharmacokinetics. The core novelty is the hybrid Padé-Adomian-MsDTM method, which yields analytically differentiable solutions with respect to model parameters. This enables derivation of recurrent sensitivity formulas and computation of the exact Jacobian of the truncated spectral representation. Three uncertainty quantification approaches - linearized (Delta method), Monte Carlo, and global (Sobol indices) - were implemented and compared, achieving a 5.3× speedup over classical RK45 integration. Numerical experiments on synthetic data for the aggressive Shimada morphotype confirmed reliable parameter recovery and identified tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TIL) and microenvironmental carrying capacity as dominant sources of prognostic uncertainty due to nonlinear threshold effects in immune dynamics. Leave-one-out cross-validation showed a predictive MAE of 7.6% on cohort-averaged clinical data. The proposed framework lays the foundation for efficient, fully differentiable personalized spectral models suitable for clinical decision support in neuroblastoma therapy.

Keywords

neuroblastoma, parameter identification, uncertainty quantification, Sobol indices, Padé-Adomian-MsDTM, Shimada morphometry, mathematical oncology

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    0
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green