The Analysis of Mortality Data, by Logistic and Compartmental Models, In Multiple Countries. Is It An Approach To Estimate How The Covid-19 Pandemic Could Last?
The Analysis of Mortality Data, by Logistic and Compartmental Models, In Multiple Countries. Is It An Approach To Estimate How The Covid-19 Pandemic Could Last?
Currently, mathematical modeling plays a pivotal role in comprehending and examining the intricacies of the COVID-19 pandemic. This brief report uses official information from WHO to utilize a logistic and compartmental model in the COVID pandemic, applied across twelve countries, to infer the mortality asymptote, total deviance, and the moment from which the final period of the pandemic begins epidemic duration in order to estimate the duration of this pandemic. Our results based on the analysis of mortality data reflecting that can be conventionally 95% inferred to that the completion of the epidemic could ended in Spain (November 2022), South Africa (2023 February), Egypt (April 2023), France and Italy (June 2023), China (September 2023), Russia (November 2023), India (December 2023), USA (February 2024), Japan (July 2024), Israel (August 2024) and Germany (January 2025).
- University of Valencia Spain
COVID-19; end date of epidemic; logistic model; compartmental model, anàlisi matemàtica, medicina
COVID-19; end date of epidemic; logistic model; compartmental model, anàlisi matemàtica, medicina
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