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Fair Prediction of Students' Summative Performance Changes Using Online Learning Behavior Data

Authors: Zifeng Liu; Xinyue Jiao; Chenglu Li; Wanli Xing;

Fair Prediction of Students' Summative Performance Changes Using Online Learning Behavior Data

Abstract

This work aims to develop a fairness-aware model while maintaining competitive predictive accuracy in online learning environment. We retrieved a large dataset that included 3,145,728 video watch log entries and 893,189 assessment results from 14,252 students on an online learning platform. Six classic machine learning (ML) models were built to predict changes in student summative performance. Our findings indicate that prediction bias exists for groups with varying demographics when using models that lack fairness awareness. To enhance fairness, we optimized the existing treatment equality metric, which was previously limited to assessing a single sensitive attribute, to evaluate the overall fairness on multiple attributes of the prediction model. Additionally, we introduced a treatment equality loss function penalty term to constrain the models' training. The results demonstrate that our method can achieve comparable predictive performance while ensuring treatment equality across different groups.

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    popularity
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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Top 10%
Average
Average
Green
Beta
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