
doi: 10.1038/s41467-024-48434-7 , 10.5281/zenodo.10979237 , 10.5281/zenodo.10979236 , 10.3929/ethz-b-000722878
pmid: 38760390
pmc: PMC11101433
handle: 20.500.11850/722878
doi: 10.1038/s41467-024-48434-7 , 10.5281/zenodo.10979237 , 10.5281/zenodo.10979236 , 10.3929/ethz-b-000722878
pmid: 38760390
pmc: PMC11101433
handle: 20.500.11850/722878
AbstractUnderstanding how biodiversity has changed through time is a central goal of evolutionary biology. However, estimates of past biodiversity are challenged by the inherent incompleteness of the fossil record, even when state-of-the-art statistical methods are applied to adjust estimates while correcting for sampling biases. Here we develop an approach based on stochastic simulations of biodiversity and a deep learning model to infer richness at global or regional scales through time while incorporating spatial, temporal and taxonomic sampling variation. Our method outperforms alternative approaches across simulated datasets, especially at large spatial scales, providing robust palaeodiversity estimates under a wide range of preservation scenarios. We apply our method on two empirical datasets of different taxonomic and temporal scope: the Permian-Triassic record of marine animals and the Cenozoic evolution of proboscideans. Our estimates provide a revised quantitative assessment of two mass extinctions in the marine record and reveal rapid diversification of proboscideans following their expansion out of Africa and a >70% diversity drop in the Pleistocene.
Aquatic Organisms, Fossils, Science, Q, Biodiversity, Extinction, Biological, Biological Evolution, Article, Deep Learning, Animals, Computer Simulation
Aquatic Organisms, Fossils, Science, Q, Biodiversity, Extinction, Biological, Biological Evolution, Article, Deep Learning, Animals, Computer Simulation
| selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources. This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 21 | |
| popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% | |
| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Top 10% | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% |
