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Joint Route Guidance and Demand Management Strategy in the Presence of Uncertain Demand

Authors: Menelaou, Charalambos; Timotheou, Stelios; Kolios, Panayiotis; Panayiotou, Christos;

Joint Route Guidance and Demand Management Strategy in the Presence of Uncertain Demand

Abstract

This work proposes a novel formulation for the joint route guidance and demand management the problem, taking into account the uncertainty in traffic demand. Previous attempts to address this problem aimed to minimize the total time spent by all vehicles in the network by determining the optimal routes and departure times, assuming perfect knowledge of traffic demand. In contrast to prior approaches, this work introduces a more realistic model that incorporates uncertain demand. Doing so results to a stochastic model predictive control model with nonconvex nonlinear constraints. To address the stochastic nature of the problem, a scenario-based formulation is introduced, which uses a Gaussian Processes framework to generate multiple scenarios. In addition, an efficient solution methodology over the scenario-based formulation is proposed that relaxes the original nonlinear problem into a linear problem, significantly enhancing its computational tractability. Moreover, in the proposed solution methodology a quadratic reformulation is derived that ensures feasibility over the original problem space. Simulation results demonstrate the superiority of the proposed scenario-based methodology over the worst-case and simplistic averaging approaches.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green