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Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing
Article . 2026 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
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ZENODO
Preprint . 2026
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https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5...
Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
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https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/ar...
Article . 2025
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ETH Zürich Research Collection
Research . 2025
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ETH Zürich Research Collection
Article . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
DBLP
Preprint . 2025
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Beyond Static Models: Hypernetworks for Adaptive and Generalizable Forecasting in Complex Parametric Dynamical Systems

Authors: Vlachas, Pantelis; Vlachas, Konstantinos; Chatzi, Eleni;

Beyond Static Models: Hypernetworks for Adaptive and Generalizable Forecasting in Complex Parametric Dynamical Systems

Abstract

Dynamical systems play a key role in modeling, forecasting, and decision-making across a wide range of scientific domains. However, variations in system parameters, also referred to as parametric variability, can lead to drastically different model behavior and output, posing challenges for constructing models that generalize across parameter regimes. In this work, we introduce the Parametric Hypernetwork for Learning Interpolated Networks (PHLieNet), a framework that simultaneously learns: (a) a global mapping from the parameter space to a nonlinear embedding and (b) a mapping from the inferred embedding to the weights of a dynamics propagation network. The learned embedding serves as a latent representation that modulates a base network, termed the hypernetwork, enabling it to generate the weights of a target network responsible for forecasting the system's state evolution conditioned on the previous time history. By interpolating in the space of models rather than observations, PHLieNet facilitates smooth transitions across parameterized system behaviors, enabling a unified model that captures the dynamic behavior across a broad range of system parameterizations. The performance of the proposed technique is validated in a series of dynamical systems with respect to its ability to extrapolate in time and interpolate and extrapolate in the parameter space, i.e., generalize to dynamics that were unseen during training. Our approach outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in both short-term forecast accuracy and in capturing long-term dynamical features such as attractor statistics.

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Keywords

FOS: Computer and information sciences, Chaotic Dynamics, Chaotic systems, FOS: Physical sciences, Computational Physics (physics.comp-ph), Machine Learning (cs.LG), Machine Learning, Computational Physics, Hypernetworks, Nonlinear Dynamics, Dynamical systems, Machine learning, Nonlinear systems, Parametric dynamical systems, Neural Networks, Computer, Nonlinear dynamical systems, Chaotic Dynamics (nlin.CD), Neural networks, Forecasting

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
Green