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Survival fluctuation is linked to precipitation variation during staging in a migratory shorebird

Authors: Brlík, Vojtěch; Pakanen, Veli-Matti; Jaakkonen, Tuomo; Arppe, Heikki; Jokinen, Jaakko; Lakka, Johanna; Blomqvist, Donald; +3 Authors

Survival fluctuation is linked to precipitation variation during staging in a migratory shorebird

Abstract

AbstractUnderstanding how weather conditions affect animal populations is essential to foresee population changes in times of global climate shifts. However, assessing year-round weather impacts on demographic parameters is hampered in migratory animals due to often unknown occurrence in space and time. We addressed this by coupling tracking and weather data to explain extensive variation in apparent survival across 19 years in a northern European population of little ringed plovers (Charadrius dubius). Over 90% (n = 21) of tracked individuals followed migration routes along the Indo-European flyway to south India. Building on capture–recapture histories of nearly 1400 individuals, we found that between-year variation in precipitation during post-breeding staging in northern South Asia explained 47% of variation in apparent adult survival. Overall, the intensity of the monsoon in South Asia explained 31–33% of variability in apparent survival. In contrast, weather conditions in breeding, final non-breeding and pre-breeding quarters appeared less important in this species. The integration of multi-source data seems essential for identifying key regions and periods limiting population growth, for forecasting future changes and targeting conservation efforts.

Countries
Czech Republic, Finland
Keywords

Adult, Population dynamics, Behavioural ecology, Seasonal survival, Science, Climate, Climate Change, Animal migration, Article, Charadriiformes, Bird, Rates, weather variability; demography; population growth; seasonal interaction; tracking, Climate change, Animals, Patterns, Weather, Habitat quality, Winter, Climate-change ecology, Q, R, Ecology, evolutionary biology, Medicine, Seasons

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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OpenAIRE UsageCountsViews provided by UsageCounts
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