
It is shown that if $F$ is an IMRL (increasing mean residual life) distribution on $\lbrack 0, \infty)$ then: $\max\{\sup_t |\bar F(t) - \bar G(t)|, \sup_t|\bar F(t) - e^{-t/\mu}|, \sup_t|\bar G(t) - e^{-t/\mu}|, \\ \sup_t |\bar G(t) - e^{-t/\mu_G}|\} = \frac{\rho}{\rho + 1} = 1 - \frac{\mu}{\mu_G}$ where $\bar F(t) = 1 - F(t), \mu = E_FX, \mu_2 = E_FX^2, G(t) = \mu^{-1} \int^t_0 \bar F(x) dx, \mu_G = E_GX = \mu_2/2\mu$, and $\rho = \mu_2/2\mu^2 - 1 = \mu_G/\mu - 1$. Thus if $F$ is IMRL and $\rho$ is small then $F$ and $G$ are approximately equal and exponentially distributed. IMRL distributions with small $\rho$ arise naturally in a class of first passage time distributions for Markov processes, as first illuminated by Keilson. The current results thus provide error bounds for exponential approximations of these distributions.
62E10, Applications of renewal theory (reliability, demand theory, etc.), approximate exponentiality, Asymptotic distribution theory in statistics, Markov processes, first passage times, reliability theory, inequalities, Characterization and structure theory of statistical distributions, IMRL distributions, increasing mean residual life distribution, first passage times, 60K10, asymptotic exponentiality
62E10, Applications of renewal theory (reliability, demand theory, etc.), approximate exponentiality, Asymptotic distribution theory in statistics, Markov processes, first passage times, reliability theory, inequalities, Characterization and structure theory of statistical distributions, IMRL distributions, increasing mean residual life distribution, first passage times, 60K10, asymptotic exponentiality
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